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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan · 24
KumamotoHOME · -
71 : 872015.03.21 · 종료
ChibaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME14.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY85.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 88.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +85.8%
VALUE EDGE+85.8%
FAIR ODDS1.17
GRADEA
KumamotoAnalysis MetricsChiba
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-1.92 Point MarginHigher is better -1.17
168.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.67
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
14.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
85.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kumamoto
L · 94-62L · 90-56L · 76-105L · 52-105L · 84-63
Chiba
W · 103-72W · 101-72W · 59-81W · 79-83L · 64-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.21Chiba81 : 76Kumamoto
2016.02.20Chiba71 : 62Kumamoto
2015.11.01Kumamoto66 : 75Chiba
2015.10.31Kumamoto84 : 76Chiba
2015.10.24Chiba69 : 79Kumamoto
2015.03.22Kumamoto71 : 80Chiba
2015.03.21Kumamoto71 : 87Chiba
2014.12.28Chiba68 : 48Kumamoto
2014.12.27Chiba65 : 73Kumamoto
2014.03.09Kumamoto67 : 76Chiba