Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan · 21
AlvarkHOME · -
104 : 602015.02.28 · 종료
TriansAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 88.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADES
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsTrians
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-26.58
172.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.08
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 86-66W · 80-67L · 84-89L · 72-80W · 87-78
Trians
L · 63-105L · 47-87L · 90-69L · 100-57L · 101-49
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.04.19 | Trians | 62 : 93 | Alvark |
| 2015.04.18 | Trians | 74 : 111 | Alvark |
| 2015.03.01 | Alvark | 100 : 60 | Trians |
| 2015.02.28 | Alvark | 104 : 60 | Trians |
| 2014.03.02 | Alvark | 82 : 81 | Trians |
| 2014.03.01 | Alvark | 77 : 67 | Trians |
| 2013.12.22 | Trians | 61 : 91 | Alvark |
| 2013.12.21 | Trians | 63 : 81 | Alvark |
| 2013.02.24 | Trians | 84 : 97 | Alvark |
| 2013.02.23 | Trians | 66 : 80 | Alvark |