Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan · 20
AlvarkHOME · -
86 : 662015.02.22 · 종료
Hiroshima D.AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.8%
VALUE EDGE+70.8%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEB
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsHiroshima D.
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.50
172.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.00
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 80-67L · 84-89L · 72-80W · 87-78W · 114-82
Hiroshima D.
L · 80-67L · 94-82L · 96-83W · 101-49L · 59-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.11.10 | Alvark | 95 : 79 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2024.11.09 | Alvark | 71 : 56 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2023.12.03 | Alvark | 61 : 76 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2023.12.02 | Alvark | 88 : 75 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2023.01.22 | Hiroshima D. | 63 : 66 | Alvark |
| 2023.01.21 | Hiroshima D. | 71 : 74 | Alvark |
| 2016.05.03 | Alvark | 92 : 72 | Hiroshima D. |
| 2016.03.27 | Hiroshima D. | 78 : 90 | Alvark |
| 2016.03.26 | Hiroshima D. | 67 : 81 | Alvark |
| 2015.12.05 | Alvark | 71 : 82 | Hiroshima D. |