Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan · 17
AlvarkHOME · -
114 : 822015.02.07 · 종료
Diamond DolphinsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsDiamond Dolphins
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
+10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+15.92
172.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.42
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
90.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
L · 81-69W · 66-89L · 84-80L · 84-72W · 77-59
Diamond Dolphins
W · 109-75W · 93-82W · 71-81W · 87-77W · 83-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.26 | Diamond Dolphins | 73 : 86 | Alvark |
| 2025.01.12 | Alvark | 77 : 69 | Diamond Dolphins |
| 2025.01.11 | Alvark | 61 : 78 | Diamond Dolphins |
| 2024.12.11 | Alvark | 86 : 69 | Diamond Dolphins |
| 2023.12.24 | Alvark | 59 : 82 | Diamond Dolphins |
| 2023.12.23 | Alvark | 83 : 68 | Diamond Dolphins |
| 2023.05.07 | Alvark | 63 : 73 | Diamond Dolphins |
| 2023.05.06 | Alvark | 92 : 93 | Diamond Dolphins |
| 2016.03.31 | Diamond Dolphins | 80 : 89 | Alvark |
| 2016.02.21 | Diamond Dolphins | 66 : 77 | Alvark |