Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan · 15
Brave ThundersHOME · -
84 : 722015.01.24 · 종료
AlvarkAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.6%
VALUE EDGE+52.6%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
Brave ThundersAnalysis MetricsAlvark
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-4.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.00
161.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.17
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
2.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation2.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Brave Thunders
W · 89-63W · 86-73W · 84-70L · 80-65W · 49-86
Alvark
W · 77-59L · 83-75W · 76-99W · 88-75W · 75-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.10 | Brave Thunders | 82 : 94 | Alvark |
| 2025.04.27 | Alvark | 84 : 80 | Brave Thunders |
| 2025.04.26 | Alvark | 80 : 67 | Brave Thunders |
| 2024.12.01 | Brave Thunders | 62 : 80 | Alvark |
| 2024.11.30 | Brave Thunders | 66 : 88 | Alvark |
| 2024.01.07 | Alvark | 99 : 76 | Brave Thunders |
| 2024.01.06 | Alvark | 94 : 79 | Brave Thunders |
| 2023.01.08 | Alvark | 88 : 73 | Brave Thunders |
| 2023.01.07 | Alvark | 75 : 64 | Brave Thunders |
| 2016.03.12 | Brave Thunders | 58 : 78 | Alvark |