Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan · 12
HokkaidoHOME · -
94 : 432014.12.23 · 종료
TsukubaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.6%
VALUE EDGE+72.6%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADES
HokkaidoAnalysis MetricsTsukuba
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.17
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.50
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hokkaido
L · 72-87L · 56-67L · 80-70L · 76-73L · 75-89
Tsukuba
L · 49-86L · 53-79L · 101-62L · 103-58L · 71-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.10 | Hokkaido | 77 : 64 | Tsukuba |
| 2016.04.09 | Hokkaido | 80 : 67 | Tsukuba |
| 2015.12.20 | Tsukuba | 56 : 75 | Hokkaido |
| 2015.12.19 | Tsukuba | 81 : 90 | Hokkaido |
| 2015.11.21 | Tsukuba | 56 : 71 | Hokkaido |
| 2015.01.31 | Tsukuba | 63 : 93 | Hokkaido |
| 2015.01.30 | Tsukuba | 60 : 70 | Hokkaido |
| 2014.12.23 | Hokkaido | 94 : 43 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.11.23 | Hokkaido | 84 : 72 | Tsukuba |
| 2014.11.22 | Hokkaido | 81 : 60 | Tsukuba |