Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan · 5
AlvarkHOME · -
70 : 852014.11.07 · 종료
Tochigi BrexAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.8%
VALUE EDGE+62.8%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsTochigi Brex
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.17
172.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.67
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
5.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 69-94L · 72-69W · 74-81W · 66-94W · 100-76
Tochigi Brex
W · 72-66W · 97-76W · 69-105W · 77-98L · 78-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.05.03 | Alvark | 83 : 76 | Tochigi Brex |
| 2014.12.28 | Tochigi Brex | 83 : 75 | Alvark |
| 2014.12.27 | Tochigi Brex | 76 : 99 | Alvark |
| 2014.11.08 | Alvark | 76 : 91 | Tochigi Brex |
| 2014.11.07 | Alvark | 70 : 85 | Tochigi Brex |
| 2014.05.05 | Alvark | 74 : 59 | Tochigi Brex |
| 2014.05.04 | Alvark | 81 : 95 | Tochigi Brex |
| 2014.05.03 | Alvark | 105 : 86 | Tochigi Brex |
| 2014.04.05 | Alvark | 80 : 79 | Tochigi Brex |
| 2014.04.04 | Alvark | 89 : 74 | Tochigi Brex |