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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Japan · 26
AlvarkHOME · -
75 : 642014.04.18 · 종료
Sun RockersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.4%
VALUE EDGE+81.4%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsSun Rockers
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+8.42 Point MarginHigher is better -0.83
171.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.17
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 44.4%
5.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 62-81W · 54-66W · 80-79W · 89-74W · 56-76
Sun Rockers
L · 89-77L · 85-76L · 83-92L · 63-60W · 70-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.24Alvark78 : 64Sun Rockers
2016.04.23Alvark90 : 86Sun Rockers
2016.01.24Sun Rockers71 : 83Alvark
2016.01.23Sun Rockers71 : 85Alvark
2015.12.23Sun Rockers71 : 76Alvark
2015.05.18Sun Rockers72 : 81Alvark
2015.05.17Sun Rockers73 : 67Alvark
2015.05.16Sun Rockers71 : 80Alvark
2015.04.29Sun Rockers63 : 75Alvark
2015.02.01Sun Rockers81 : 69Alvark