Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Japan · 19
AlvarkHOME · -
77 : 672014.03.01 · 종료
TriansAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.1%
VALUE EDGE+78.1%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADES
AlvarkAnalysis MetricsTrians
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+8.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-26.58
171.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.08
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alvark
W · 80-85W · 70-89W · 89-51W · 87-56W · 92-70
Trians
W · 72-64W · 75-60W · 76-79L · 77-73W · 73-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.04.19 | Trians | 62 : 93 | Alvark |
| 2015.04.18 | Trians | 74 : 111 | Alvark |
| 2015.03.01 | Alvark | 100 : 60 | Trians |
| 2015.02.28 | Alvark | 104 : 60 | Trians |
| 2014.03.02 | Alvark | 82 : 81 | Trians |
| 2014.03.01 | Alvark | 77 : 67 | Trians |
| 2013.12.22 | Trians | 61 : 91 | Alvark |
| 2013.12.21 | Trians | 63 : 81 | Alvark |
| 2013.02.24 | Trians | 84 : 97 | Alvark |
| 2013.02.23 | Trians | 66 : 80 | Alvark |