Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan · BJ League - Quarter-finals
ToyamaHOME · -
85 : 682014.05.11 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADES
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsNiigata
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-21.25
169.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.58
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 83-69W · 106-84W · 103-66W · 88-95W · 82-106
Niigata
L · 83-69W · 19-20L · 86-78W · 79-80W · 65-112
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.23 | Niigata | 94 : 89 | Toyama |
| 2023.04.05 | Toyama | 75 : 56 | Niigata |
| 2022.12.28 | Niigata | 77 : 90 | Toyama |
| 2016.03.20 | Toyama | 72 : 59 | Niigata |
| 2016.03.19 | Toyama | 81 : 71 | Niigata |
| 2015.11.29 | Niigata | 86 : 73 | Toyama |
| 2015.11.28 | Niigata | 59 : 80 | Toyama |
| 2015.05.03 | Niigata | 81 : 66 | Toyama |
| 2015.05.02 | Niigata | 94 : 74 | Toyama |
| 2015.03.28 | Niigata | 79 : 76 | Toyama |