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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan · BJ League - Quarter-finals
RyukyuHOME · -
79 : 492014.05.10 · 종료
NeoPhoenixAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.7%
VALUE EDGE+80.7%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEB
RyukyuAnalysis MetricsNeoPhoenix
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+3.00 Point MarginHigher is better +5.83
172.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
13.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ryukyu
W · 72-78L · 62-59W · 80-68W · 87-77W · 65-84
NeoPhoenix
W · 21-14L · 61-64W · 70-67L · 72-78L · 71-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.01Ryukyu86 : 96NeoPhoenix
2026.10.31Ryukyu86 : 80NeoPhoenix
2025.05.19NeoPhoenix69 : 77Ryukyu
2025.05.17NeoPhoenix87 : 85Ryukyu
2024.10.06Ryukyu82 : 74NeoPhoenix
2024.03.03NeoPhoenix89 : 98Ryukyu
2024.03.02NeoPhoenix88 : 107Ryukyu
2023.02.12NeoPhoenix63 : 73Ryukyu
2023.02.11NeoPhoenix75 : 82Ryukyu
2016.04.17NeoPhoenix84 : 77Ryukyu