Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ShinshuHOME · -
19 : 202014.05.04 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.3%
VALUE EDGE+64.3%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADES
ShinshuAnalysis MetricsNiigata
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-21.25
171.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.58
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
0.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shinshu
W · 86-78L · 79-80W · 105-91W · 95-79W · 113-91
Niigata
L · 86-78W · 79-80W · 65-112W · 76-78W · 94-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.07 | Niigata | 72 : 94 | Shinshu |
| 2023.05.06 | Niigata | 62 : 71 | Shinshu |
| 2023.01.07 | Shinshu | 74 : 80 | Niigata |
| 2023.01.06 | Shinshu | 73 : 62 | Niigata |
| 2016.04.10 | Shinshu | 85 : 76 | Niigata |
| 2016.04.09 | Shinshu | 59 : 87 | Niigata |
| 2015.11.08 | Niigata | 85 : 74 | Shinshu |
| 2015.04.12 | Shinshu | 69 : 84 | Niigata |
| 2015.04.11 | Shinshu | 64 : 93 | Niigata |
| 2014.12.28 | Niigata | 78 : 57 | Shinshu |