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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
NeoPhoenixHOME · -
70 : 672014.05.03 · 종료
FukuokaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.9%
VALUE EDGE+61.9%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
NeoPhoenixAnalysis MetricsFukuoka
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+5.83 Point MarginHigher is better -1.92
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NeoPhoenix
L · 72-78L · 71-75W · 87-70L · 80-68L · 87-77
Fukuoka
L · 91-86L · 81-68L · 72-66W · 71-72W · 92-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.18Fukuoka78 : 101NeoPhoenix
2016.03.17Fukuoka74 : 90NeoPhoenix
2016.01.31NeoPhoenix86 : 57Fukuoka
2016.01.30NeoPhoenix67 : 79Fukuoka
2015.03.27Fukuoka60 : 82NeoPhoenix
2014.12.07Fukuoka74 : 76NeoPhoenix
2014.12.06Fukuoka65 : 74NeoPhoenix
2014.10.26NeoPhoenix77 : 60Fukuoka
2014.10.25NeoPhoenix88 : 76Fukuoka
2014.05.04NeoPhoenix21 : 14Fukuoka