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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ShimaneHOME · -
61 : 872014.04.26 · 종료
OsakaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +69.8%
VALUE EDGE+69.8%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
ShimaneAnalysis MetricsOsaka
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
+2.33 Point MarginHigher is better -22.67
165.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.50
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
30.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
69.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shimane
W · 74-71W · 89-83W · 66-80W · 63-62L · 50-79
Osaka
W · 72-66L · 71-72L · 66-72L · 74-76W · 62-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.30Shimane95 : 73Osaka
2025.03.29Shimane78 : 73Osaka
2025.03.01Osaka74 : 60Shimane
2025.02.28Osaka68 : 85Shimane
2024.05.05Osaka74 : 67Shimane
2024.05.04Osaka92 : 73Shimane
2023.12.31Shimane89 : 83Osaka
2023.12.30Shimane111 : 82Osaka
2023.04.16Shimane74 : 73Osaka
2023.04.15Shimane88 : 91Osaka