Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NeoPhoenixHOME · -
71 : 752014.04.20 · 종료
NaraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADES
NeoPhoenixAnalysis MetricsNara
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+5.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.17
169.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
NeoPhoenix
W · 87-70L · 80-68L · 87-77W · 89-92L · 86-81
Nara
L · 87-70L · 66-80W · 67-73W · 76-78W · 64-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.06 | Nara | 57 : 68 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2015.11.23 | NeoPhoenix | 109 : 63 | Nara |
| 2015.11.22 | NeoPhoenix | 64 : 55 | Nara |
| 2015.04.05 | NeoPhoenix | 71 : 56 | Nara |
| 2015.04.04 | NeoPhoenix | 78 : 65 | Nara |
| 2015.01.04 | Nara | 65 : 79 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2015.01.03 | Nara | 66 : 92 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2014.04.20 | NeoPhoenix | 71 : 75 | Nara |
| 2014.04.19 | NeoPhoenix | 87 : 70 | Nara |
| 2013.12.01 | Nara | 62 : 60 | NeoPhoenix |