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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
Earthfriends Tokyo ZHOME · -
85 : 822014.03.22 · 종료
ShinshuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME34.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +65.5%
VALUE EDGE+65.5%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADES
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAnalysis MetricsShinshu
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better -4.00
178.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.33
12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation13.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
34.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
65.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 71-86L · 65-77L · 87-56L · 92-66L · 82-85
Shinshu
W · 93-74L · 86-73W · 86-89W · 88-68L · 69-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.20Earthfriends Tokyo Z90 : 97Shinshu
2016.03.19Earthfriends Tokyo Z91 : 93Shinshu
2015.11.29Shinshu76 : 65Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.11.28Shinshu106 : 87Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.01.11Earthfriends Tokyo Z71 : 83Shinshu
2015.01.10Earthfriends Tokyo Z73 : 88Shinshu
2014.10.19Shinshu87 : 75Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.10.18Shinshu72 : 91Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.03.23Earthfriends Tokyo Z67 : 108Shinshu
2014.03.22Earthfriends Tokyo Z85 : 82Shinshu