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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
OitaHOME · -
89 : 752014.03.21 · 종료
ShimaneAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.5%
VALUE EDGE+67.5%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
OitaAnalysis MetricsShimane
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+1.67 Point MarginHigher is better +2.33
182.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
12.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Oita
L · 77-69W · 61-68L · 57-66L · 64-69L · 85-76
Shimane
L · 61-72L · 66-74L · 91-67L · 66-57L · 59-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.28Shimane97 : 86Oita
2016.02.27Shimane87 : 69Oita
2015.11.08Oita82 : 73Shimane
2015.11.07Oita67 : 96Shimane
2015.03.15Shimane83 : 80Oita
2015.03.14Shimane74 : 69Oita
2015.02.28Oita56 : 63Shimane
2014.03.22Oita73 : 54Shimane
2014.03.21Oita89 : 75Shimane
2013.12.08Shimane65 : 88Oita