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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
Earthfriends Tokyo ZHOME · -
71 : 862014.03.16 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +68.1%
VALUE EDGE+68.1%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAnalysis MetricsNiigata
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better -21.25
178.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.58
12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
31.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
68.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 65-77L · 87-56L · 92-66L · 82-85L · 86-89
Niigata
W · 65-77L · 101-94L · 106-90W · 76-70L · 66-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.27Niigata108 : 79Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2016.03.26Niigata91 : 63Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.10.03Earthfriends Tokyo Z62 : 95Niigata
2015.10.02Earthfriends Tokyo Z64 : 107Niigata
2015.03.21Earthfriends Tokyo Z78 : 102Niigata
2015.03.20Earthfriends Tokyo Z51 : 104Niigata
2014.03.16Earthfriends Tokyo Z71 : 86Niigata
2014.03.15Earthfriends Tokyo Z65 : 77Niigata
2013.12.01Niigata93 : 77Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2013.11.30Niigata78 : 64Earthfriends Tokyo Z