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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
80 : 752014.03.16 · 종료
OsakaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +55.9%
VALUE EDGE+55.9%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsOsaka
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-7.42 Point MarginHigher is better -22.67
169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.50
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.8 / 15
Prediction separation5.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
55.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
44.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 71-74W · 69-78W · 79-81W · 81-91L · 68-69
Osaka
W · 77-69L · 61-68W · 91-78L · 55-77W · 53-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.12Toyama91 : 77Osaka
2023.10.08Osaka86 : 77Toyama
2023.10.07Osaka93 : 73Toyama
2022.11.20Osaka69 : 66Toyama
2022.11.19Osaka86 : 94Toyama
2014.12.28Osaka66 : 82Toyama
2014.12.27Osaka68 : 84Toyama
2014.03.16Toyama80 : 75Osaka