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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
AkitaHOME · -
106 : 902014.03.08 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.6%
VALUE EDGE+67.6%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADES
AkitaAnalysis MetricsNiigata
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-6.42 Point MarginHigher is better -21.25
184.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.58
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Akita
W · 54-79L · 75-68L · 85-90L · 88-101W · 79-100
Niigata
W · 76-70L · 66-69L · 67-64L · 93-90W · 71-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.12.18Niigata59 : 68Akita
2022.12.17Niigata68 : 93Akita
2016.03.13Niigata81 : 70Akita
2016.03.12Niigata79 : 71Akita
2015.11.22Akita91 : 67Niigata
2015.11.21Akita93 : 73Niigata
2015.05.10Akita19 : 18Niigata
2015.05.10Akita82 : 63Niigata
2015.05.09Akita74 : 79Niigata
2015.02.22Akita83 : 93Niigata