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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
Earthfriends Tokyo ZHOME · -
82 : 852014.03.02 · 종료
ShigaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +66.9%
VALUE EDGE+66.9%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADES
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAnalysis MetricsShiga
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better -5.00
178.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 175.50
12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation14.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
33.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
66.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 86-89W · 71-74L · 87-55W · 86-83W · 81-75
Shiga
W · 86-89W · 85-76W · 92-66L · 92-67W · 89-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.12.05Earthfriends Tokyo Z53 : 96Shiga
2015.12.04Earthfriends Tokyo Z63 : 73Shiga
2014.03.02Earthfriends Tokyo Z82 : 85Shiga
2014.03.01Earthfriends Tokyo Z86 : 89Shiga
2013.11.24Shiga81 : 88Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2013.11.23Shiga68 : 65Earthfriends Tokyo Z