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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
RyukyuHOME · -
23 : 182015.05.03 · 종료
OitaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 73.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.7%
VALUE EDGE+74.7%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
RyukyuAnalysis MetricsOita
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+4.50 Point MarginHigher is better +1.67
172.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.83
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
0.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ryukyu
W · 92-68L · 67-74L · 60-77W · 64-50W · 54-89
Oita
L · 92-68W · 67-74L · 61-74L · 54-101L · 70-66

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.20Oita73 : 83Ryukyu
2016.03.19Oita82 : 103Ryukyu
2016.01.31Ryukyu81 : 88Oita
2016.01.30Ryukyu101 : 80Oita
2015.05.03Ryukyu23 : 18Oita
2015.05.03Ryukyu92 : 68Oita
2015.05.02Ryukyu67 : 74Oita
2015.03.22Oita72 : 69Ryukyu
2015.03.21Oita72 : 82Ryukyu
2015.02.15Ryukyu98 : 65Oita