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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
GunmaHOME · -
78 : 892015.04.25 · 종료
ToyamaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.0%
VALUE EDGE+63.0%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
GunmaAnalysis MetricsToyama
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+8.25 Point MarginHigher is better -6.17
158.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.33
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.1 / 15
Prediction separation11.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
37.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gunma
L · 77-72L · 77-75L · 73-78W · 77-57L · 89-87
Toyama
W · 75-59W · 88-73W · 75-69L · 78-86L · 79-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.24Toyama70 : 88Gunma
2024.03.23Toyama69 : 84Gunma
2022.10.22Gunma86 : 73Toyama
2016.02.28Toyama94 : 83Gunma
2016.02.27Toyama82 : 87Gunma
2016.01.31Gunma62 : 93Toyama
2016.01.30Gunma71 : 87Toyama
2015.04.26Gunma73 : 68Toyama
2015.04.25Gunma78 : 89Toyama
2015.02.15Toyama73 : 77Gunma