Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NaraHOME · -
77 : 852015.03.28 · 종료
ShigaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.2%
VALUE EDGE+62.2%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
NaraAnalysis MetricsShiga
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-7.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.67
164.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.17
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nara
L · 87-61L · 83-77L · 67-73W · 88-87W · 76-74
Shiga
L · 74-76W · 102-87W · 62-76L · 86-63W · 85-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.31 | Shiga | 81 : 67 | Nara |
| 2024.03.30 | Shiga | 78 : 70 | Nara |
| 2023.12.10 | Shiga | 97 : 79 | Nara |
| 2023.12.09 | Shiga | 79 : 72 | Nara |
| 2023.10.22 | Nara | 78 : 88 | Shiga |
| 2023.10.21 | Nara | 66 : 96 | Shiga |
| 2016.03.20 | Shiga | 77 : 67 | Nara |
| 2016.03.19 | Shiga | 89 : 61 | Nara |
| 2016.01.31 | Nara | 75 : 88 | Shiga |
| 2016.01.30 | Nara | 64 : 77 | Shiga |