Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ShimaneHOME · -
74 : 692015.03.14 · 종료
OitaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.6%
VALUE EDGE+56.6%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
ShimaneAnalysis MetricsOita
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+0.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.67
166.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.83
37.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation5.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shimane
W · 96-78L · 73-95W · 56-63L · 69-100W · 77-71
Oita
L · 76-74W · 85-90L · 56-63L · 81-83W · 94-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.28 | Shimane | 97 : 86 | Oita |
| 2016.02.27 | Shimane | 87 : 69 | Oita |
| 2015.11.08 | Oita | 82 : 73 | Shimane |
| 2015.11.07 | Oita | 67 : 96 | Shimane |
| 2015.03.15 | Shimane | 83 : 80 | Oita |
| 2015.03.14 | Shimane | 74 : 69 | Oita |
| 2015.02.28 | Oita | 56 : 63 | Shimane |
| 2014.03.22 | Oita | 73 : 54 | Shimane |
| 2014.03.21 | Oita | 89 : 75 | Shimane |
| 2013.12.08 | Shimane | 65 : 88 | Oita |