Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NaraHOME · -
76 : 742015.03.08 · 종료
OitaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.9%
VALUE EDGE+52.9%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
NaraAnalysis MetricsOita
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-7.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.67
164.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.83
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation2.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nara
L · 85-90L · 105-82L · 99-94L · 53-78L · 58-78
Oita
W · 85-90L · 56-63L · 81-83W · 94-86L · 98-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.14 | Oita | 74 : 79 | Nara |
| 2016.02.13 | Oita | 68 : 81 | Nara |
| 2015.11.29 | Nara | 85 : 87 | Oita |
| 2015.11.28 | Nara | 87 : 91 | Oita |
| 2015.03.08 | Nara | 76 : 74 | Oita |
| 2015.03.07 | Nara | 85 : 90 | Oita |
| 2015.02.08 | Oita | 86 : 72 | Nara |
| 2015.02.07 | Oita | 73 : 64 | Nara |
| 2014.12.14 | Nara | 81 : 77 | Oita |
| 2014.12.13 | Nara | 80 : 78 | Oita |