Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NiigataHOME · -
87 : 702015.03.07 · 종료
GunmaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.2%
VALUE EDGE+63.2%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
NiigataAnalysis MetricsGunma
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-21.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
160.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.58
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation11.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Niigata
W · 71-82W · 77-80W · 83-93L · 82-77L · 69-86
Gunma
W · 84-71W · 75-61W · 98-73L · 88-99W · 73-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.11.20 | Niigata | 81 : 93 | Gunma |
| 2022.11.19 | Niigata | 72 : 100 | Gunma |
| 2016.04.17 | Gunma | 86 : 90 | Niigata |
| 2016.04.16 | Gunma | 70 : 92 | Niigata |
| 2015.10.25 | Niigata | 66 : 69 | Gunma |
| 2015.10.24 | Niigata | 92 : 53 | Gunma |
| 2015.03.08 | Niigata | 101 : 73 | Gunma |
| 2015.03.07 | Niigata | 87 : 70 | Gunma |
| 2014.11.02 | Gunma | 71 : 81 | Niigata |
| 2014.11.01 | Gunma | 68 : 73 | Niigata |