Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
GunmaHOME · -
88 : 992015.02.21 · 종료
ShinshuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.2%
VALUE EDGE+61.2%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADES
GunmaAnalysis MetricsShinshu
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.33
158.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.17
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Gunma
W · 73-77L · 80-61W · 79-71W · 81-73L · 95-85
Shinshu
L · 102-105L · 77-95L · 69-85W · 86-83L · 76-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.10.09 | Shinshu | 63 : 71 | Gunma |
| 2022.10.08 | Shinshu | 80 : 55 | Gunma |
| 2016.03.27 | Shinshu | 97 : 90 | Gunma |
| 2016.03.26 | Shinshu | 90 : 64 | Gunma |
| 2015.10.04 | Gunma | 85 : 75 | Shinshu |
| 2015.10.03 | Gunma | 88 : 61 | Shinshu |
| 2015.04.05 | Shinshu | 89 : 87 | Gunma |
| 2015.04.04 | Shinshu | 80 : 93 | Gunma |
| 2015.02.22 | Gunma | 98 : 73 | Shinshu |
| 2015.02.21 | Gunma | 88 : 99 | Shinshu |