Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
AomoriHOME · -
80 : 702015.02.07 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.5%
VALUE EDGE+54.5%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
AomoriAnalysis MetricsNiigata
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-21.25
155.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
13.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aomori
W · 71-72L · 69-58L · 66-76L · 75-69L · 75-66
Niigata
W · 71-68W · 86-104W · 81-93W · 78-57W · 80-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.27 | Niigata | 84 : 93 | Aomori |
| 2024.02.26 | Niigata | 68 : 85 | Aomori |
| 2023.12.31 | Niigata | 80 : 85 | Aomori |
| 2023.12.30 | Niigata | 75 : 73 | Aomori |
| 2023.12.17 | Aomori | 92 : 85 | Niigata |
| 2023.12.16 | Aomori | 95 : 90 | Niigata |
| 2016.02.21 | Niigata | 84 : 75 | Aomori |
| 2016.02.20 | Niigata | 90 : 80 | Aomori |
| 2016.01.17 | Aomori | 70 : 88 | Niigata |
| 2016.01.16 | Aomori | 82 : 79 | Niigata |