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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
RyukyuHOME · -
105 : 642015.01.18 · 종료
NaraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +84.7%
VALUE EDGE+84.7%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
RyukyuAnalysis MetricsNara
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+3.00 Point MarginHigher is better -7.17
172.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.00
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
84.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
15.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ryukyu
W · 87-62W · 91-62W · 83-68W · 76-91W · 61-95
Nara
L · 87-62L · 92-75L · 85-73L · 65-79L · 66-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.13Nara81 : 91Ryukyu
2016.03.12Nara61 : 81Ryukyu
2015.10.18Ryukyu75 : 64Nara
2015.10.17Ryukyu85 : 70Nara
2015.04.19Nara54 : 89Ryukyu
2015.04.18Nara69 : 89Ryukyu
2015.01.18Ryukyu105 : 64Nara
2015.01.17Ryukyu87 : 62Nara
2014.03.23Nara60 : 73Ryukyu
2014.03.22Nara72 : 86Ryukyu