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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
SaitamaHOME · -
86 : 1042015.01.18 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME19.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY81.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 84.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +81.0%
VALUE EDGE+81.0%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
SaitamaAnalysis MetricsNiigata
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-22.33 Point MarginHigher is better -21.25
162.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.58
12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
19.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
81.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saitama
L · 81-93L · 87-102L · 81-105W · 87-101L · 96-73
Niigata
W · 81-93W · 78-57W · 80-77W · 92-65W · 91-61

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.07Niigata78 : 65Saitama
2016.02.06Niigata92 : 74Saitama
2015.11.01Saitama64 : 91Niigata
2015.10.31Saitama71 : 95Niigata
2015.01.18Saitama86 : 104Niigata
2015.01.17Saitama81 : 93Niigata
2014.10.12Niigata72 : 44Saitama
2014.10.11Niigata73 : 64Saitama
2014.04.27Saitama65 : 112Niigata
2014.04.26Saitama76 : 78Niigata