Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
FukuokaHOME · -
74 : 902015.01.18 · 종료
ShimaneAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.9%
VALUE EDGE+59.9%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
FukuokaAnalysis MetricsShimane
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-1.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.25
159.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.92
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation8.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Fukuoka
W · 72-70L · 101-62L · 91-55W · 77-74W · 102-91
Shimane
L · 72-70W · 76-77W · 68-72W · 108-78W · 90-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.06 | Fukuoka | 52 : 61 | Shimane |
| 2016.03.05 | Fukuoka | 75 : 80 | Shimane |
| 2015.11.15 | Shimane | 76 : 65 | Fukuoka |
| 2015.11.14 | Shimane | 82 : 71 | Fukuoka |
| 2015.04.19 | Shimane | 88 : 75 | Fukuoka |
| 2015.04.18 | Shimane | 88 : 82 | Fukuoka |
| 2015.01.18 | Fukuoka | 74 : 90 | Shimane |
| 2015.01.17 | Fukuoka | 72 : 70 | Shimane |
| 2014.04.06 | Shimane | 63 : 62 | Fukuoka |
| 2014.04.05 | Shimane | 50 : 79 | Fukuoka |