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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
91 : 542015.01.17 · 종료
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 88.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +87.2%
VALUE EDGE+87.2%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsEarthfriends Tokyo Z
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-5.83 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83
169.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.83
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
87.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 66-82W · 68-84W · 74-66W · 77-73W · 66-74
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 71-83L · 73-88L · 100-77L · 95-82L · 77-101

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.06Toyama77 : 60Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2016.03.05Toyama86 : 66Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.11.15Earthfriends Tokyo Z65 : 93Toyama
2015.11.14Earthfriends Tokyo Z42 : 105Toyama
2015.01.18Toyama106 : 82Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.01.17Toyama91 : 54Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.10.13Earthfriends Tokyo Z71 : 77Toyama
2014.10.12Earthfriends Tokyo Z70 : 79Toyama
2014.04.27Toyama106 : 84Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.04.26Toyama103 : 66Earthfriends Tokyo Z