Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
Earthfriends Tokyo ZHOME · -
71 : 832015.01.11 · 종료
ShinshuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.5%
VALUE EDGE+68.5%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADES
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAnalysis MetricsShinshu
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-13.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.33
178.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.17
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 73-88L · 100-77L · 95-82L · 77-101L · 59-108
Shinshu
W · 73-88L · 91-62L · 83-68L · 78-57L · 80-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.20 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 90 : 97 | Shinshu |
| 2016.03.19 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 91 : 93 | Shinshu |
| 2015.11.29 | Shinshu | 76 : 65 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2015.11.28 | Shinshu | 106 : 87 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2015.01.11 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 71 : 83 | Shinshu |
| 2015.01.10 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 73 : 88 | Shinshu |
| 2014.10.19 | Shinshu | 87 : 75 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2014.10.18 | Shinshu | 72 : 91 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2014.03.23 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 67 : 108 | Shinshu |
| 2014.03.22 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 85 : 82 | Shinshu |