Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NaraHOME · -
100 : 772014.12.28 · 종료
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.5%
VALUE EDGE+73.5%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEA
NaraAnalysis MetricsEarthfriends Tokyo Z
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-7.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.83
164.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.83
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nara
W · 95-82L · 70-64L · 81-62W · 81-77W · 80-78
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 95-82L · 77-101L · 59-108L · 73-65L · 57-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.12.19 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 69 : 82 | Nara |
| 2015.12.18 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 72 : 89 | Nara |
| 2014.12.28 | Nara | 100 : 77 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2014.12.27 | Nara | 95 : 82 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z |
| 2014.02.02 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 91 : 75 | Nara |
| 2014.02.01 | Earthfriends Tokyo Z | 58 : 87 | Nara |