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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
FukuokaHOME · -
77 : 742014.12.21 · 종료
SaitamaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.6%
VALUE EDGE+73.6%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADES
FukuokaAnalysis MetricsSaitama
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-1.92 Point MarginHigher is better -22.33
159.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.50
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Fukuoka
W · 102-91L · 74-76L · 65-74L · 66-85L · 73-86
Saitama
L · 102-91L · 76-97L · 87-89L · 71-85L · 59-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.12.21Fukuoka77 : 74Saitama
2014.12.20Fukuoka102 : 91Saitama
2014.02.02Saitama64 : 72Fukuoka
2014.02.01Saitama66 : 79Fukuoka