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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
77 : 732014.12.20 · 종료
IwateAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +62.3%
VALUE EDGE+62.3%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEB
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsIwate
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-5.83 Point MarginHigher is better -3.50
169.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.17
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
37.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
62.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 66-74L · 79-71L · 99-90L · 87-72W · 74-62
Iwate
L · 74-81W · 69-66W · 71-85W · 59-96W · 98-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.05.08Toyama92 : 61Iwate
2016.05.07Toyama70 : 61Iwate
2016.03.27Iwate66 : 82Toyama
2016.03.26Iwate79 : 71Toyama
2015.10.04Toyama75 : 66Iwate
2015.10.03Toyama66 : 63Iwate
2015.03.15Iwate79 : 81Toyama
2015.03.14Iwate68 : 81Toyama
2014.12.21Toyama74 : 66Iwate
2014.12.20Toyama77 : 73Iwate