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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ShinshuHOME · -
79 : 762014.12.20 · 종료
AomoriAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.2%
VALUE EDGE+61.2%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
ShinshuAnalysis MetricsAomori
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-3.33 Point MarginHigher is better -16.08
170.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.42
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation9.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shinshu
W · 75-83L · 89-55W · 99-90W · 87-72L · 66-96
Aomori
W · 73-65W · 65-82L · 70-60L · 80-72W · 86-93

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.03.15Shinshu90 : 70Aomori
2026.03.14Shinshu91 : 65Aomori
2026.01.25Aomori75 : 66Shinshu
2026.01.24Aomori62 : 74Shinshu
2025.11.23Aomori64 : 79Shinshu
2025.11.22Aomori68 : 53Shinshu
2025.04.13Shinshu96 : 72Aomori
2025.04.12Shinshu80 : 65Aomori
2024.11.17Aomori80 : 112Shinshu
2024.10.20Shinshu89 : 73Aomori