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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
AomoriHOME · -
73 : 652014.12.13 · 종료
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 77.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.1%
VALUE EDGE+78.1%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
AomoriAnalysis MetricsEarthfriends Tokyo Z
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-16.08 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83
155.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.83
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aomori
W · 65-82L · 70-60L · 80-72W · 86-93L · 59-77
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 57-88L · 65-84L · 65-63L · 93-64L · 65-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.07Aomori97 : 79Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2016.02.06Aomori79 : 69Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.11.01Earthfriends Tokyo Z58 : 91Aomori
2015.10.31Earthfriends Tokyo Z76 : 94Aomori
2014.12.13Aomori73 : 65Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.10.26Earthfriends Tokyo Z57 : 76Aomori
2014.10.25Earthfriends Tokyo Z79 : 89Aomori
2014.02.09Aomori84 : 68Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.02.08Aomori74 : 66Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2013.10.27Earthfriends Tokyo Z49 : 80Aomori