Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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BJ League Japan

NeoPhoenixHOME · -

93 : 642014.11.29 · 종료

Earthfriends Tokyo ZAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY20.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +79.8%

VALUE EDGE+79.8%

FAIR ODDS1.25

GRADEA

NeoPhoenixAnalysis MetricsEarthfriends Tokyo Z

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+3.75 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83

168.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.83

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

79.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

20.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

NeoPhoenix

W · 59-88W · 81-91L · 73-76W · 76-65W · 66-76

Earthfriends Tokyo Z

L · 65-87W · 92-75L · 56-87L · 59-74L · 86-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2014.11.30	NeoPhoenix	65 : 63	Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.11.29	NeoPhoenix	93 : 64	Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.01.17	Earthfriends Tokyo Z	69 : 75	NeoPhoenix
2014.01.16	Earthfriends Tokyo Z	74 : 77	NeoPhoenix