Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NiigataHOME · -
76 : 712014.11.29 · 종료
ShimaneAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.8%
VALUE EDGE+68.8%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
NiigataAnalysis MetricsShimane
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-21.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.33
160.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.33
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Niigata
L · 74-58L · 81-71L · 75-69L · 67-60L · 82-85
Shimane
L · 62-71L · 68-78L · 63-71L · 76-99W · 63-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.10.02 | Niigata | 49 : 79 | Shimane |
| 2022.10.01 | Niigata | 82 : 73 | Shimane |
| 2014.11.30 | Niigata | 83 : 88 | Shimane |
| 2014.11.29 | Niigata | 76 : 71 | Shimane |