Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
NaraHOME · -
82 : 972014.11.22 · 종료
ShinshuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.1%
VALUE EDGE+61.1%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
NaraAnalysis MetricsShinshu
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-7.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
164.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.33
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation9.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nara
L · 98-87L · 108-92L · 70-85L · 63-89L · 91-53
Shinshu
L · 73-82L · 70-71W · 91-81W · 90-78L · 95-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.12.21 | Nara | 70 : 79 | Shinshu |
| 2025.12.20 | Nara | 59 : 85 | Shinshu |
| 2025.11.02 | Shinshu | 94 : 70 | Nara |
| 2025.11.01 | Shinshu | 89 : 73 | Nara |
| 2024.12.29 | Nara | 73 : 79 | Shinshu |
| 2024.12.28 | Nara | 77 : 89 | Shinshu |
| 2024.11.26 | Shinshu | 82 : 63 | Nara |
| 2024.11.25 | Shinshu | 66 : 68 | Nara |
| 2014.11.23 | Nara | 98 : 97 | Shinshu |
| 2014.11.22 | Nara | 82 : 97 | Shinshu |