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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
AomoriHOME · -
83 : 782014.11.22 · 종료
FukuokaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.9%
VALUE EDGE+64.9%
FAIR ODDS1.54
GRADEA
AomoriAnalysis MetricsFukuoka
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-16.08 Point MarginHigher is better -1.92
155.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.92
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.1 / 15
Prediction separation12.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aomori
W · 82-65L · 69-74L · 72-61W · 79-86L · 88-95
Fukuoka
W · 86-100L · 83-77L · 71-84L · 86-116L · 83-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.12.21Aomori65 : 79Fukuoka
2025.12.20Aomori73 : 70Fukuoka
2024.11.30Fukuoka94 : 80Aomori
2024.11.29Fukuoka77 : 56Aomori
2024.02.03Aomori80 : 88Fukuoka
2023.11.14Fukuoka71 : 75Aomori
2015.12.20Fukuoka71 : 66Aomori
2015.12.19Fukuoka69 : 79Aomori
2014.11.23Aomori59 : 77Fukuoka
2014.11.22Aomori83 : 78Fukuoka