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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ShigaHOME · -
75 : 692014.11.16 · 종료
NiigataAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.2%
VALUE EDGE+53.2%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
ShigaAnalysis MetricsNiigata
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-3.67 Point MarginHigher is better -21.25
174.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 160.58
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.0 / 15
Prediction separation2.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
46.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shiga
W · 67-60W · 71-60L · 78-87L · 66-90W · 81-59
Niigata
L · 67-60L · 82-85L · 74-82W · 71-81W · 68-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.21Niigata92 : 81Shiga
2024.01.20Niigata80 : 89Shiga
2023.11.12Shiga77 : 56Niigata
2023.11.11Shiga82 : 66Niigata
2015.12.13Shiga66 : 70Niigata
2015.12.12Shiga88 : 100Niigata
2014.11.16Shiga75 : 69Niigata
2014.11.15Shiga67 : 60Niigata
2013.11.17Shiga68 : 78Niigata
2013.11.16Shiga61 : 90Niigata