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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
Earthfriends Tokyo ZHOME · -
59 : 742014.11.15 · 종료
FukushimaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +53.5%
VALUE EDGE+53.5%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAnalysis MetricsFukushima
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better +1.08
178.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 180.08
12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation3.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
53.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
46.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 86-74L · 80-56L · 100-68L · 109-53L · 57-76
Fukushima
L · 63-83W · 73-67L · 55-82L · 76-95L · 82-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.21Fukushima98 : 70Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2016.02.20Fukushima89 : 78Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2016.01.17Earthfriends Tokyo Z67 : 88Fukushima
2016.01.16Earthfriends Tokyo Z62 : 78Fukushima
2015.04.12Fukushima99 : 87Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2015.04.11Fukushima74 : 69Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.11.16Earthfriends Tokyo Z56 : 87Fukushima
2014.11.15Earthfriends Tokyo Z59 : 74Fukushima