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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
OitaHOME · -
86 : 742014.11.09 · 종료
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.2%
VALUE EDGE+66.2%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
OitaAnalysis MetricsEarthfriends Tokyo Z
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+1.67 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83
182.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation13.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Oita
W · 80-56L · 71-60W · 78-87L · 67-81L · 77-66
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 80-56L · 100-68L · 109-53L · 57-76L · 79-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.11.09Oita86 : 74Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.11.08Oita80 : 56Earthfriends Tokyo Z