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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
66 : 762014.11.09 · 종료
NeoPhoenixAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.9%
VALUE EDGE+76.9%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEB
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsNeoPhoenix
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-5.83 Point MarginHigher is better +3.75
169.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.25
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 72.7%
0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 81-77W · 88-95W · 71-78W · 95-80W · 108-88
NeoPhoenix
L · 81-77W · 77-60W · 88-76W · 79-71W · 82-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.28NeoPhoenix103 : 80Toyama
2024.04.27NeoPhoenix89 : 64Toyama
2024.04.10Toyama62 : 96NeoPhoenix
2024.01.17NeoPhoenix95 : 83Toyama
2023.04.19Toyama94 : 105NeoPhoenix
2023.04.02NeoPhoenix66 : 81Toyama
2023.04.01NeoPhoenix79 : 73Toyama
2023.01.18NeoPhoenix102 : 92Toyama
2014.11.09Toyama66 : 76NeoPhoenix
2014.11.08Toyama81 : 77NeoPhoenix