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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
OitaHOME · -
80 : 562014.11.08 · 종료
Earthfriends Tokyo ZAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +64.7%
VALUE EDGE+64.7%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
OitaAnalysis MetricsEarthfriends Tokyo Z
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+1.67 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83
182.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation12.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
64.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
35.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Oita
L · 71-60W · 78-87L · 67-81L · 77-66W · 83-91
Earthfriends Tokyo Z
L · 100-68L · 109-53L · 57-76L · 79-89L · 87-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2014.11.09Oita86 : 74Earthfriends Tokyo Z
2014.11.08Oita80 : 56Earthfriends Tokyo Z