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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BJ League Japan
NiigataHOME · -
74 : 822014.11.08 · 종료
OsakaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
NiigataAnalysis MetricsOsaka
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-21.25 Point MarginHigher is better -22.92
160.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.58
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Niigata
W · 71-81W · 68-73W · 82-75W · 89-77W · 75-76
Osaka
W · 73-82W · 68-82W · 73-70W · 85-77W · 66-90

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.12.31Niigata75 : 86Osaka
2022.12.30Niigata77 : 81Osaka
2016.01.03Niigata67 : 86Osaka
2016.01.02Niigata64 : 85Osaka
2014.11.09Niigata82 : 85Osaka
2014.11.08Niigata74 : 82Osaka
2014.01.19Osaka54 : 76Niigata
2014.01.18Osaka92 : 71Niigata