Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BJ League
Japan
ToyamaHOME · -
81 : 772014.11.08 · 종료
NeoPhoenixAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.9%
VALUE EDGE+75.9%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEA
ToyamaAnalysis MetricsNeoPhoenix
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-5.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.75
169.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.25
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
72.7%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
13.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Toyama
W · 88-95W · 71-78W · 95-80W · 108-88W · 77-90
NeoPhoenix
W · 77-60W · 88-76W · 79-71W · 82-68W · 72-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.28 | NeoPhoenix | 103 : 80 | Toyama |
| 2024.04.27 | NeoPhoenix | 89 : 64 | Toyama |
| 2024.04.10 | Toyama | 62 : 96 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2024.01.17 | NeoPhoenix | 95 : 83 | Toyama |
| 2023.04.19 | Toyama | 94 : 105 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2023.04.02 | NeoPhoenix | 66 : 81 | Toyama |
| 2023.04.01 | NeoPhoenix | 79 : 73 | Toyama |
| 2023.01.18 | NeoPhoenix | 102 : 92 | Toyama |
| 2014.11.09 | Toyama | 66 : 76 | NeoPhoenix |
| 2014.11.08 | Toyama | 81 : 77 | NeoPhoenix |